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Three Months After the EU Killed Its €150 Duty-Free Threshold, China-Europe Air Cargo Is Being Reshaped

2026-10-17

Three months into the EU's low-value parcel crackdown, the numbers are in — and they are unambiguous.

What changed

  • 1 July 2026: the duty-free exemption for imports under €150 was abolished. Low-value parcels now pay a flat €3 duty per product category.
  • 1 November 2026: a further €2 flat handling fee per parcel takes effect, stacking on top of the duty.

What the September data shows

  • Tonnage: combined mainland China and Hong Kong airfreight to Europe fell 10% year on year in September, per WorldACD — an improvement on July's -14% and August's -15%, but the split is stark. Hong Kong to Europe dropped 24%; mainland China fell just 2% and is back near June levels.
  • Frankfurt Airport: total September cargo rose 2.5% to 174,773 tonnes on strong US belly-hold demand — yet imports from China fell 1.8% and from Hong Kong 7.4%, a decline the airport explicitly ties to the abolished exemption and weaker e-commerce flows.
  • Belgium: H7 simplified low-value declarations fell 53% year on year, and the average declared value per item jumped from €5.73 to €10.85. The cheapest direct-mail traffic is being priced out, not rerouted.

Where rates stand

  • China-Europe full-market average: $4.53 per kilo in September, up from $4.26 in August but well below June's $5.22.
  • Freightos data for the week to 13 October: China-North Europe air rates fell another 7% week on week, while China-North America rose 3%. September China-US spot averaged $6.05 per kilo, 30% above a year ago. Lane choice is now a margin decision.

What shippers should do

  • Convert direct-mail small parcels into bulk-cleared, EU-warehouse fulfilment. That amortises the new €5-per-parcel fixed cost to cents per unit.
  • If you have discretionary Q4 air volume for Europe, book in the next two weeks — the current dip is a buying window, not a trend to wait out.
  • Quote duty, handling fee and freight as separate line items. Surprise charges at checkout are killing conversion more than the duty itself.

Yufeng International Logistics operates dedicated Europe services combining air, ocean and overseas-warehouse fulfilment — see the Europe routes page.

Sources: Based on WorldACD market data, Air Cargo News, Frankfurt Airport monthly statistics, YLOAD News and China Logistics Daily.

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